by Richard Holmes
When investing for your golden years, whether in Britain or retiring overseas and employing a QROPS you can never show too much care with your money.
Many folks like to invest themselves; however , even an savy greenhorn stock trader is at a massive disadvantage. Equity markets are the most investigated markets by a long way. Let’s focus on a single player in the stock market, the Fund manager, and realise the enormous resources he has at his disposal: access to hundreds of research workers who devour each piece of info to the n th degree as they hunt for that one undervalued company to take a position in.
Research tells us that to reduce stock market investment risk we need a portfolio spread right across around 30 corporations, from a wide range of sectors like, insurance, telecoms, retail, etc.
The greenhorn stock trader has little to no chance of whipping the professional Fund Executive and his arsenal of tools in this search for undervalued stocks. The single rookie has even less likelihood of actively dealing with a larger portfolio of investments.
A little data may also be deadly…
The amateur that does better than the lone wolf or the semi-informed stock trader is the one which understands how critical diversification is and recognises that he has neither the time nor expertise to handle a diversified portfolio on his very own.
This trader buys funds. This is progress, but most often mistakes are continuing to be made.
We’ll take an example. Our amateur investor has made a decision to get into funds. He finds a well known fund internet site, sees something attractive and buys in. By coincidence, the business cycle is heading into slowdown phase, the phase before recession.
Now, there is not a fund group in the world that will not take your funds even if they know the stock market is about to tank.
So , our trader has just commited a significant part of his net worth into a fund on the supposition of its histrorical results and a favorable chart on the web. He’s received no guidance, nor is he going to get any in the future. Sure enough, the economy moves into recession and our investor is taking a look at a 30% loss.
This sort of trader is always in trouble, as they know little about risk management nor have they got the skill or experience to contain risk by diversifying across asset groups, i.e. Instruments, bonds, property, and possibilities such as commodities and hedge funds.
Furthermore, he doesn’t understand his own risk profile and regularly ends up taking too much or too little risk and, always, doesn’t understand tactical asset allocation.
Tactical asset diversification is when switches are made of one asset sector to another dependent on the prevailing economic condition. Being careful in the slow down stage and recession stage and being more venturesome in the recession (markets begin to rally while still in recession) and boom stage.
This is particularly true of those that invest in actively managed pure stock funds or index tracking share funds. These are good if the FT 100 is rising, less so when it isn’t, simply as these funds are obliged to stay invested - most often between 90% - 100% in the very asset sector that is falling in worth.
Then there’s a last group of speculators I come across.
This group are the traders whose returns consistently outperform the newbies and the ones that spend almost no time handling their investments. Who are they? These are the ones that are defended by a good Independent Financial Counsellor or Wealth manager.
Disclaimer
Investors should always seek pro financial advice concerning the suitability of investing in any securities or following any investment strategies. Nothing in this post shall be regarded as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any security, future, option, fund or other finance instrument or to offer or provide any investment information or service to any individual in any jurisdiction.
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