Without needing to pointlessly alarm, unfolding currently might just be the final 2 straws that break the world economy back.
First off , the Us economy has just reported a trade deficit of $54 bn. for themonthof Aug, which makes it the third month in a row where there has been a shortage of gt;$50b.
In household terms, what’s taking place is that the economy is importing (i.e. Funds flowing out) more than it is exporting (i.e. Funds coming in) to the tune of $54b in a month.
Such a position is not sustainable, as, when we spend more than we earn then you have to either run down savings or else use debt to pay for the difference.
What does this mean? Well, the commonest technique used to influence spending (i.e. To reduce the quantity of cheap imports being purchased) is to raise interest rates. But the US economy is subsidized on the back of spending instead of manufacturing productivity, so there may be a unpleasant complication of sending the economy back in to recession.
The second factor to watch is world oil prices. The reason for this is that oil is used in some specific form in every home each day (i.e. Gas mostly). As oil prices rise then so does the cost of business, and this additional cost is generally passed on to customers in the form of increased prices.
So… Higher prices due to oil price rises, and higher interest bills possible thanks to the probability of a rate hike in America (which should, sooner or later, flow on to the Aussie market) all at a point in time when house loan affordability is at a new low because debt is so high.
The message is this then… If there is a squeeze, then it will be people who are highly leveraged relative to their earning capacity that may feel it the most. It might be smart to think about your present position and do something as needed to manage the chance while there is still time.