by Chance Carson
The tail-end of 2008 left most investors frustrated. One of the few beacons of hope appeared to be U.S. Treasury bonds. Retirement-oriented investors still wonder where to go next for better returns.
Many investors are wondering if Treasuries will be the best choice for 2009. Not likely, according to Pimco Chief Investment Officer Mohamed El-Erian, who advises against owning those types of bonds since they have become too expensive. Andrew Bary punctuated that same sentiment in a Barron’s article, (January 5, 2009: http://online.barrons.com/article/ ) entitled, Get Out Now.
If Treasury products are no longer optimal, what other choices are appealing for the weary investor in 2009? Many advisors and experts are now pointing to four classes of assets that deserve your attention. This article focuses on the first three; the fourth one is discussed on a separate link listed below.
* Mortgage Backed Securities * Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities-TIPS * Municipal Bonds * Investment Grade Corporate Bonds
1. Yields on mortgage-backed securities have been declining ever since the Federal government November 2008 announcement that it would purchase up to $500 billion of Ginnie Mae, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae home mortgage-related bonds. But with the purchases just beginning in January, current yields of this battered asset class still look attractive relative to historical levels. Also, with the Fed’s intervention, mortgage-backed securities now offer effectively the same Federal guarantee as U.S. Treasuries, but with higher yields. Consider iShares Barclays MBS Bond Fund (MBB), iShares Barclays Agency Bond Fund (AGZ) and SPDR Barclays Capital Mortgage Backed Bond ETF (MBG).
2. At the moment, TIPS prices are headed lower with fears of deflation. However, if the Federal stimulus packages prompt inflation, as many believe, TIPS will correspondingly produce better results. You will likely read many other articles on TIPS, so pay close attention to these two products; (TIP) iShares Barclays TIPS Bond Fund and (IPE) SPDR Barclays Capital TIPS, both on the NYSE.
3. Tax-free Municipal Bonds are approaching attractive levels compared to US Treasuries. For example, investment grade munis with their current 4-5% tax-free rates, are comparable to taxable yields on certificates of deposit that pay 6-7%. Among the worthy products to consider are the following: (PZA) PowerShares Insured National Municipal Bond Index Fund, (TFI) SPDR Lehman Municipal Bond ETF and (MUB) iShares S&P National Municipal Bond Index Fund.
Investors also may look to regional choices. California is arguably one of the prominent arenas for political and economic opportunity. With the advent of stimulus packages earmarked for infrastructure, one could anticipate more Federal assistance for California. One offering to investigate is Barclays (CMF) iShares S&P California Municipal Bond Fund.
What about safety of principal? For investors wanting more assurance, (PRB) Market Vectors Pre-Refunded Municipal Index ETF may be the hot item. This ground-breaking ETF invests only in pre-refunded municipal bonds. The collateral for these bonds are U.S. Treasury securities which means they are the only municipal bonds fully backed by the U.S. Government.
4. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds offer great value at current prices. Many investment fund managers are buying up corporate bonds on the assumption that bailout and stimulus programs will lead to fewer corporate defaults. For a more complete picture, read The 15 Best Asset Classes in 2009 for High Yielding, Secure Retirement Income in the strategy section of http://www.AboutETFs.info.
In future articles, we may examine two additional income-producing asset classes: senior loans and preferred stocks. But for now, your best bets for principal safety and steady income seem to be mortgage-backed securities, Treasury inflation protected securities (TIPS), municipal bonds and high-grade corporate bonds.
As always, results are not guaranteed and these strategies may not be suitable for your personal investment objectives. You should consult with a professional before buying or selling any securities. This article is not intended to be investment advice for the purchase or sale of any mentioned securities.
About the Author:
Chance Carson ownsAlpine Strategies in Colorado Springs, Colorado. Chance is the editor of AboutETFs.com, an educational website for retired investors, and http://www.AboutETFs.info , an
exchange-traded funds research report website that features complimentary monthly strategies. He welcomes your opinions and thoughts. Write to ChanceCarson@AboutETFs.com .