The concept of technical analysis is based on the pervading sense of logic and mathematical rational driving modern trading decisions. The humble origins of the trading theory can be traced back as far as three centuries with the infamous Japanese rice trader Homma Munehisa establishing a candlestick charting system. It is believed that these are the first etchings of technical approach, ultimately giving rise to the theory we know today. At times there is a danger that the modest and historical precedence of this school of thought may be lost in conjecture the meaning behind technical analysis remains simple and individuals need feel alienated by trading hyperbole.
Technical analysis, put simply involves mixing together logic with visual pricing structures. Data from previous market price movements and charting analysis is extracted and built into a predictive trading model. Such a model will forecast the most likely future outcome.
The technical analysis theory tends to co-exist with a fundamental approach. The ability to comprehend fundamental analysis will aid your understanding of technical analysis through this innate difference. Some traders choose to implement both theories and others defiantly only believe in one school of thought. Analysis need not be subjected to this sense of categorization and an understanding of both combined with a willingness to acknowledge that both may have potential positive and negative outcomes demonstrates a good breadth of analytical ability.
A fundamental and technical approach can be rather different, yet both remain united in their hunt for a predictive outcome. Fundamental differs to technical in the sense that fundamental focused traders utilise global economic data, the financial stability of specific companies and factors such as geo political change. Their approach is broader, yet the technical approach is more internal focusing on existing market data tracking pricing movements and this data’s visual representation in charting form.
Whilst we have been quick to categorise analysts as technical there are many different versions of technical analysis with individuals choosing to re-interpret or move forward data analysis. Traditionally known as chartists, chart focused individuals have created labels for pattern types including flag or triangle patterns which occur repeatedly. Conversely JM Hurst has pioneered new research into the interpretation of these specific signals. Technical analysis software provides an outlet for the trader to tailor specific design indicators and signals encouraging a freedom of thought despite the seemingly uniform chartist approach.
An understanding of different trading methods opens your horizons to techniques and methods outside of immediate market reaction, rather than fighting fires technical analysis can be used to prepare an array of different approaches to market situations. Inevitably all trading remains subject to risk and technical analysis does not alleviate this risk but it does expose otherwise masked potential indicators, trends and possible patterns.